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Prediction market: Fed on track to hit 4% NGDP growth in 2015
Since December last year the prediction market site Hypermind has been running a prediction market for US nominal GDP growth for 2015 (plus markets for each quarter of the year). I think the...
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Hypermind prediction: Nearly 50% probability of Grexit in 2015
Have a look at the latest numbers from Hypermind’s prediction market on the likelihood of Greece leaving the euro in 2015. In my view this likely is also the kind of probability that the rest of the...
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